Fast policy
Compute monetary and fiscal policy uₜ in response to the current state xₜ. Objective weights wₜ remain fixed until the next annual update.
What society values. What the world brings.
Explore how social priorities and unexpected shocks shape policy and future paths.
The vertical line marks the selected quarter. Shocks enter in Q5 and first affect the state in Q6.
Band: estimate of z ±1σ · dots: annual observations used by the filter
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Select a node to inspect its values for the chosen quarter and its connection to the next step.
Flexible policy. Careful estimation. A stable constitution.
Compute monetary and fiscal policy uₜ in response to the current state xₜ. Objective weights wₜ remain fixed until the next annual update.
Predict each quarter and assimilate observations yₜ in Q1, Q5, Q9… Map the annual estimate ẑₜ through the constitutional rule to update wₜ.
Hold constitutional parameters θ—base priorities and feedback sensitivity—fixed. Reviews do not trigger automatic revisions; a Q17 change is an experiment chosen in advance by the user.
ρ(A − BK) < 1 diagnoses state control with fixed weights. Stability of the full system, including changing weights and preference feedback, requires further analysis.